Nominal Interest Rate The interest rate in terms of nominal (not adjusted for purchasing power) dollars. Real Interest Rate The excess of the interest rate over the inflation rate. The growth rate of purchasing power derived from an investment. Effective Annual Rate (EAR) Interest Rate is annualized using compound rather than simple interest. Annual Percentage Rate (APR) Interest rate is annualized using simple rather than compound interest. Dividend Yield The percent rate of return provided by a stock's dividend payments. Risk-Free Rate The interest rate that can be earned with certainty. Risk Premium An expected return in excess of that on risk-free securities. The premium provides compensation for the risk of an investment. Excess Return Rate of return in excess of the risk-free rate. Risk Aversion Dislike risk. Normal Distribution Bell-shaped probability distribution that characterizes many natural phenomena. Event Tree Depicts all possible sequences of events. Skew Measure of the asymmetry of a probability distribution. Kurtosis Measure of the fatness of the tails of a probability distribution. Indicates probability of observing extreme high or low values. Lognormal Distribution The log of the variable has normal (bell-shaped) distribution. Value At Risk (VaR) Measure of downside risk. The loss that will be incurred in the event of an extreme adverse price change with some given, typically low, probability. Conditional Tail Expectation (CTE) Expectation of a random variable conditional on its falling below some threshold value. Often used as a measure of down-side risk. Lower Partial Standard Deviation (LPSD) Standard deviation computed using only the portion of the probability distribution below the mean of the variable.